Concerns about outdoor transmission risk seem to be trending again. What is the risk of transmission outdoors and should we be more worried about outdoors with the new more-transmissible variant? (1/n)
In almost every city in Germany, the most powerful indicators of COVID transmission are indicators of poverty. (Here we see Stuttgart, COVID-incidence is left and households with 5+ ppl on the right). I, for one, am shocked! The curfew probably helped. https://www.zeit.de/wissen/2021-05/soziale-ungleichheit-corona-infektionen-aermere-stadtteile-datenanalyse-soziale-brennpunkte …pic.twitter.com/oja537jDFC
1/25 Update thread on where NHS hospitals are at the moment, concentrating on 3 things: a) hotspot hospital admission rates. b) overall pressure. c) what this may mean for easing lockdown measures (spoiler alert - we will need a full, evidence based, debate given trade offs!)
2/25 Having spoken to NHS trust CEOs in hotspot areas in last 48 hours, central message remains broadly the same. Namely A. Covid-19 hospital admission rates not increasingly rapidly. They vary between climbing slowly, plateau-ing or, interestingly, starting to reduce.
We've pushed the weekly numbers update (thanks
@theosanderson!) at http://covid19.sanger.ac.uk . As expected, in the most recent 2 week window, B.1.617.2 is the most common lineage in England. Still driven by local concentrations of high case numbers (L cases, R B.1.617.2):pic.twitter.com/oIzv4vqvkX
Malaysia, Thailand, Taiwan & Vietnam were 'success' stories of last year Take a look now No Country Is Safe Until *All* Countries Are Safepic.twitter.com/QQoQ8OMG4P
Still thinking about this interview between
@cwarzel and @JuliaLMarcus. Twitter very much rewards certainty and emotion. Yet science is about uncertainty and objectivity. What is the best way for us scientists to engage with the platform? What are the perils and pitfalls? https://twitter.com/nataliexdean/status/1398114266134220801 …pic.twitter.com/WEuaKHWoUv
Every ethnic & racial category includes people with different nationalities, religions, social classes & phenotypes. Rather than deciding what is a race vs ethnicity it may be more productive to examine the role of these categories in determining who is more or less fully human.
Precisely. "Passport" schemes without global vaccine distribution lets the wealthy (people & countries) reap the full benefits of vaccination – beyond the incredible privilege of protecting against death & illness – removing the incentive to equitably distribute vaccines globallyhttps://twitter.com/paimadhu/status/1397910743668846597 …
Covid ravaged our society because of the huge inequalities we've allowed to happen over years and years. It targeted society's most vulnerable, who'd been made more vulnerable over the preceding years by the very politicians we're now claiming would have been our saviours.pic.twitter.com/SO0UD04lbD
NEW: Immunity to the coronavirus lasts at least a year, possibly a lifetime, and improves over time especially after vaccination, according to two new studies. https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/26/health/coronavirus-immunity-vaccines.html …
SARS-CoV-2 Transmission Dynamics Should Inform Policy
Good to revisit the papers that most informed our local approach to covid. This is particularly clear.
@SSRN https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3692807 …
It's clear that B.1.617.2 has been growing faster than B.1.1.7 in UK for a few weeks. Key question for policy, not yet fully answered, is how much due to: 1. vaccine efficacy 2. intrinsic transmissibility 3. human epidemiological factors of my current thoughts on the topic:
In response to this (and the kind endorsement) There are people with accounts on Twitter who know far more about COVID19 (the virus, disease, control, data and policy) than most of the ‘experts’ who regularly tweet about it.https://twitter.com/GusMcLean1855/status/1396943157946949638 …
I keep mentioning to people that therapeutics for covid-19 may move the dial for mortality at max 16% For vaccines it’s closer to 90 plus Every case that breaks through that doesn’t land in hospital is a success not a failure
Covid rates in Sefton & Bolton tell a tale of 2 demographics. Let’s stop blaming people in my town, praising wealthier areas for “doing a good job” & start to question why? We need a cross departmental co-produced
@MichaelMarmot community strategy.https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/may/23/covid-rates-in-sefton-and-bolton-tell-a-tale-of-two-demographics …
It is striking to me that the folks that often leverage their credentials on twitter generally have pretty weak credentials. (sorry, not sorry)
Just seems that if you’re worried about not reaching herd immunity due to marginal vaccine escape you shouldn’t be implying to folks the vaccines don’t work. A small number will say “should I bother?” instead of “I’ll still get it” and in that scenario they especially matter?
I've seen this for months now & it's really embarrassing for all of science. I've personally asked several of the culprits to knock it off, & was then blocked en masse. There's clearly coordination on these attacks and pile-ons. For what? Clicks and clout?https://twitter.com/AdamJKucharski/status/1396440365566238721 …